Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Acciari 50.8% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 78.8%
Defensive zone
Acciari 58.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 62.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Lowry
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lowry
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Lowry
Acciari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
52.7% (313)
+3.0%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
33.3% (18)
+52.4%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
49.7% (195)
-10.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +52.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Lowry is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lowry shoots left. Acciari is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Lowry
Acciari
Home
54.3% (429)
52.6% (291)
Away
53.5% (385)
48.9% (235)
By Period
Lowry
Acciari
P1
53.1%
53.7%
P2
55.2%
51.1%
P3
54.4%
48.5%
OT
40.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
57.1%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 13:31 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 02:02 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |