Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 51.3%). Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Acciari 51.2% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 58.5%
Defensive zone
Acciari 62.2%
Neutral zone
Acciari 52.0%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Lowry
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
Lowry
Acciari
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
2
Lowry
Acciari
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
10
Lowry
Acciari
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
52.8% (3,304)
+0.1%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
48.3% (87)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
47.0% (1,073)
-2.2%
On power play, Lowry has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Lowry shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,268).
Home / Away
Lowry
Acciari
Home
53.5% (5,920)
51.9% (2,139)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
50.7% (2,325)
By Period
Lowry
Acciari
P1
51.6%
52.3%
P2
51.7%
51.5%
P3
51.5%
50.2%
OT
46.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 13:31 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 02:02 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 30, 2023 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 01:45 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 3 | 11:54 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 2 | 04:31 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 3 | 02:59 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |