Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Sundqvist 46.1% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 79.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 94.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 89.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 86.8%
86.8%
13.2%
Lowry
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Lowry
Sundqvist
Last 6: Lowry 5-1 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Sundqvist
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Sundqvist
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
45.0% (500)
+8.7%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
54.5% (22)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
46.0% (50)
-3.3%
On even strength, Lowry has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Lowry is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Lowry shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (425).
Home / Away
Lowry
Sundqvist
Home
53.0% (583)
45.5% (255)
Away
50.6% (605)
45.4% (317)
By Period
Lowry
Sundqvist
P1
52.1%
40.9%
P2
51.8%
46.9%
P3
52.3%
48.4%
OT
25.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.9%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
51.8%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:13 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 05:50 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 14:02 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |