Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Sundqvist 47.6% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 53.3%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 59.9%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 56.9%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Lowry
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lowry
Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Sundqvist
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
2
Lowry
Sundqvist
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
46.8% (301)
+8.9%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
80.0% (10)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
43.5% (85)
-4.5%
On even strength, Lowry has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Lowry is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lowry shoots left. Sundqvist is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Lowry
Sundqvist
Home
54.3% (429)
46.0% (189)
Away
53.5% (385)
47.8% (207)
By Period
Lowry
Sundqvist
P1
53.1%
44.7%
P2
55.2%
47.6%
P3
54.4%
48.6%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 11:32 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 08:00 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |