Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Thomas 52.7% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 73.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 75.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 54.2%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Lowry
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Lowry
Thomas
Last 10: Lowry 8-2 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
7
Lowry
Thomas
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
0
Lowry
Thomas
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
53.6% (924)
-0.9%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
55.2% (181)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
44.0% (116)
-4.0%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
Lowry
Thomas
Home
52.4% (597)
53.6% (606)
Away
48.4% (583)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Lowry
Thomas
P1
48.5%
48.2%
P2
52.2%
55.3%
P3
50.5%
55.2%
OT
50.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
49.4%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
50.4%
Thomas
36.0%▼
50.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2023 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 3 | 16:57 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 3 | 03:03 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 11:35 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 10:04 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 1 | 16:43 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 1 | 12:58 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 19:06 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 14:32 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 14:18 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 07:48 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |