Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Thomas 54.5% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 68.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 77.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 57.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Lowry
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Lowry
Thomas
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
4
Lowry
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Thomas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
55.3% (990)
-1.6%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
54.2% (190)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
52.5% (158)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Lowry is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Lowry shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Home / Away
Lowry
Thomas
Home
53.0% (583)
55.1% (690)
Away
50.6% (605)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Lowry
Thomas
P1
52.1%
55.5%
P2
51.8%
56.4%
P3
52.3%
51.5%
OT
25.0%
69.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
51.8%
Thomas
36.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 19:06 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 2 | 08:58 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 22, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 18:04 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 04:47 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |