Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Hartman 45.6% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 53.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 86.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 78.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Lowry
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lowry
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Lowry
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
45.1% (874)
+10.6%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
47.4% (95)
+38.3%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
37.5% (16)
+1.5%
On power play, Lowry has a +38.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Lowry is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lowry shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hartman
Home
54.3% (429)
45.0% (515)
Away
53.5% (385)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Lowry
Hartman
P1
53.1%
47.3%
P2
55.2%
40.1%
P3
54.4%
48.3%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 01:28 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:33 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 02:10 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |