Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Hartman 45.4% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 41-25 in 66 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 77.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 98.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 95.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 90.2%
90.2%
9.8%
Lowry
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
41
-
25
(66 meetings)
41
25
Lowry
Hartman
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
10
12
Lowry
Hartman
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
16
5
Lowry
Hartman
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
15
8
Lowry
Hartman
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
45.2% (4,279)
+7.7%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
47.3% (446)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
42.4% (262)
+2.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Lowry shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,596).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hartman
Home
53.5% (5,920)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
43.7% (2,398)
By Period
Lowry
Hartman
P1
51.6%
46.1%
P2
51.7%
42.9%
P3
51.5%
46.7%
OT
46.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
52.8%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 01:28 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:33 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 02:10 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 11:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 13:20 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 16:11 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 16:52 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 04:16 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 04:06 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 14:11 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 19:57 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 10:19 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |