Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs McLeod 47.4% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 55.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 69.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 66.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Lowry
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lowry
McLeod
Last 7: Lowry 4-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Lowry
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
49.0% (827)
+6.7%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
44.0% (91)
+41.7%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
43.0% (272)
-4.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. McLeod is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Lowry
McLeod
Home
54.3% (429)
48.5% (619)
Away
53.5% (385)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Lowry
McLeod
P1
53.1%
52.7%
P2
55.2%
43.9%
P3
54.4%
45.8%
OT
40.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
57.1%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 14:01 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 09:17 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |