Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs McLeod 49.5% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 18-10 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 61.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 87.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 79.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 77.4%
77.4%
22.6%
Lowry
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
10
(28 meetings)
18
10
Lowry
McLeod
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
6
Lowry
McLeod
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
11
2
Lowry
McLeod
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
2
Lowry
McLeod
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
50.4% (3,376)
+2.5%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
50.7% (296)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
44.1% (644)
+0.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. McLeod is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,809).
Home / Away
Lowry
McLeod
Home
53.5% (5,920)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Lowry
McLeod
P1
51.6%
50.8%
P2
51.7%
48.0%
P3
51.5%
50.0%
OT
46.3%
37.1%
Final 5 min
52.8%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 14:01 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 09:17 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:04 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 16:41 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 11:54 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 02:01 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 14:25 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |