Adam Lowry vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% (+7.1%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 69.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 74.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (459)
47.6% (189)
+7.7%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
100.0% (2)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (70)
29.4% (17)
+12.0%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Lowry is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Lowry shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.4% (268)
48.5% (132)
Away
54.0% (265)
43.4% (76)
By Period
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
52.1%
51.4%
P2
55.8%
41.3%
P3
53.4%
48.5%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
53.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%