Adam Lowry vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+7.5%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 69.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 76.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
46.0% (250)
+9.7%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
70.6% (17)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
31.8% (22)
+7.2%
On power play, Lowry has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
54.3% (429)
50.3% (175)
Away
53.5% (385)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
53.1%
48.5%
P2
55.2%
45.9%
P3
54.4%
46.5%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%