Adam Lowry vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 26-23 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 86.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 73.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
23
(49 meetings)
26
23
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
7
9
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
12
5
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
7
9
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
44.8% (8,775)
+8.1%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
50.6% (844)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
37.8% (880)
+7.0%
On even strength, Lowry has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.5% (5,920)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
51.6%
45.1%
P2
51.7%
43.9%
P3
51.5%
45.2%
OT
46.3%
43.2%
Final 5 min
52.8%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 16:50 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 15:59 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 11:13 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:55 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:12 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 01:35 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 16:29 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |