Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Carrick 54.2% (-1.1%)
Offensive zone
Lowry 52.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 50.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 53.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Lowry
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
55.5% (470)
+0.2%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
66.7% (3)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
50.0% (58)
-11.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Lowry is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lowry shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Lowry
Carrick
Home
54.3% (429)
58.6% (261)
Away
53.5% (385)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Lowry
Carrick
P1
53.1%
55.9%
P2
55.2%
53.5%
P3
54.4%
55.6%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%