Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Meier 48.0% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Meier 79.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 76.2%
Neutral zone
Meier 55.0%
Result
Timo Meier favored at 79.2%
20.8%
79.2%
Lowry
Meier
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lowry
Meier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Meier
0
1
Lowry
Meier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Meier
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
41.1% (95)
+14.6%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
65.4% (26)
+20.3%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
50.0% (2)
-11.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Meier shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Meier is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (75).
Home / Away
Lowry
Meier
Home
54.3% (429)
40.4% (57)
Away
53.5% (385)
51.5% (66)
By Period
Lowry
Meier
P1
53.1%
34.0%
P2
55.2%
50.9%
P3
54.4%
60.9%
Final 5 min
57.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Meier
48.0%▲
45.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 15:04 | Offensive | Timo Meier |