Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Meier 44.0% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Meier 63.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 94.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 82.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Lowry
Meier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lowry
Meier
Last 6: Lowry 4-2 Meier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Meier
0
2
Lowry
Meier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
0
Lowry
Meier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Meier
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
41.3% (470)
+11.6%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
51.5% (103)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
35.7% (14)
+9.1%
On even strength, Lowry has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Meier shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Meier is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Lowry
Meier
Home
53.5% (5,920)
43.2% (280)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
42.7% (307)
By Period
Lowry
Meier
P1
51.6%
43.3%
P2
51.7%
44.7%
P3
51.5%
40.4%
OT
46.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Meier
48.0%▲
45.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 15:04 | Offensive | Timo Meier |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 05:03 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Timo Meier |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:32 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |