Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Gourde 48.2% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 24-18 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 58.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 83.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 72.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Lowry
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
18
(42 meetings)
24
18
Lowry
Gourde
Last 10: Lowry 9-1 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
4
7
Lowry
Gourde
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
10
0
Lowry
Gourde
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
10
11
Lowry
Gourde
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
48.4% (4,987)
+4.5%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
57.4% (376)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
40.0% (555)
+4.8%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,967).
Home / Away
Lowry
Gourde
Home
53.5% (5,920)
49.3% (2,949)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Lowry
Gourde
P1
51.6%
49.8%
P2
51.7%
47.5%
P3
51.5%
47.5%
OT
46.3%
37.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 09:44 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 11:01 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 07:15 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:08 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 2 | 18:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 09:39 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 17:43 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |