Scouting Report
Adam Ruzicka holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ruzicka 48.5% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+3.3%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 51.3%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 61.1%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 53.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Ruzicka
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ruzicka
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (164)
44.7% (1,053)
+2.9%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
36.8% (95)
+13.2%
On power play, Ruzicka has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Ruzicka is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Ruzicka shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Ruzicka
MacKinnon
Home
47.0% (66)
49.4% (553)
Away
48.1% (108)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Ruzicka
MacKinnon
P1
48.2%
45.3%
P2
47.1%
42.7%
P3
48.0%
45.1%
Final 5 min
54.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ruzicka
44.0%▼
47.5%
47.7%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
44.4%