Adrian Kempe vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +24.2% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 23.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.6% vs Pageau 59.0% (-24.2%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 75.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 85.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 63.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Kempe
Pageau
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (103)
59.4% (726)
-21.5%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
69.0% (42)
-38.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
59.7% (221)
-34.7%
On power play, Pageau has a +38.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Kempe is 23.7% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Kempe shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Kempe
Pageau
Home
35.8% (67)
58.4% (430)
Away
35.5% (76)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Kempe
Pageau
P1
36.5%
55.4%
P2
36.7%
61.8%
P3
31.4%
61.5%
OT
42.9%
75.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.7%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%