Adrian Kempe vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Kempe wins 41.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 40.9% vs Pageau 54.8% (-14.4%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kempe 79.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 71.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 50.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Kempe
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Kempe
Pageau
Last 10: Kempe 4-6 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
4
0
Kempe
Pageau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
6
Kempe
Pageau
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
2
1
Kempe
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,882)
55.8% (9,525)
-15.6%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
57.0% (1,008)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
49.6% (2,077)
-7.0%
On even strength, Pageau has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Kempe is 41.8% vs right-shot opponents (791).
Kempe shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Home / Away
Kempe
Pageau
Home
42.4% (1,046)
56.3% (6,267)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Kempe
Pageau
P1
39.4%
54.7%
P2
40.1%
56.3%
P3
42.2%
53.5%
OT
37.0%
54.4%
Final 5 min
37.2%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 02:53 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 14:59 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 13:00 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 18:39 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 14:41 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 11:57 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 07:10 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 05:12 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |