Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +17.0% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.6% vs Monahan 52.5% (-17.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 59.0%
Defensive zone
Monahan 86.8%
Neutral zone
Monahan 78.2%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Kempe
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kempe
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (103)
53.0% (874)
-15.1%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
54.7% (161)
-24.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
47.5% (101)
-22.5%
On power play, Monahan has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Kempe is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Kempe shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Kempe
Monahan
Home
35.8% (67)
53.8% (558)
Away
35.5% (76)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Kempe
Monahan
P1
36.5%
49.5%
P2
36.7%
54.8%
P3
31.4%
52.8%
OT
42.9%
61.9%
Final 5 min
40.0%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.7%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 13:21 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |