Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Zacha 50.1% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 59.3%
Defensive zone
Barkov 69.5%
Neutral zone
Barkov 58.8%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Barkov
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Barkov
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
48.0% (296)
+9.0%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
61.0% (59)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
50.0% (22)
-1.7%
On even strength, Barkov has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Barkov is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Barkov shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Barkov
Zacha
Home
59.2% (557)
48.9% (223)
Away
55.1% (695)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Barkov
Zacha
P1
56.7%
47.9%
P2
54.8%
48.3%
P3
59.7%
54.3%
OT
55.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
59.4%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |