Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Belzile on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Belzile wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Point shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belzile 47.9% vs Point 50.7% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 80.6%
Defensive zone
Belzile 71.1%
Neutral zone
Point 57.6%
Result
Alex Belzile favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Belzile
Point
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Belzile
Point
Last 5: Belzile 3-2 Point
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
0
1
Belzile
Point
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belzile
3
0
Belzile
Point
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
0
1
Belzile
Point
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belzile
Point
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (191)
49.9% (711)
-1.7%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
56.2% (105)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
50.0% (6)
-22.7%
On power play, Point has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Point shoots right. Belzile is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (66).
Belzile shoots right. Point is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Belzile
Point
Home
53.3% (107)
53.3% (394)
Away
39.8% (98)
48.4% (428)
By Period
Belzile
Point
P1
42.9%
49.8%
P2
46.6%
53.0%
P3
51.4%
49.6%
Final 5 min
46.8%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belzile
54.0%▲
48.0%
46.8%
Point
56.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 15:46 | Defensive | Alex Belzile |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Alex Belzile |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 01:28 | Defensive | Alex Belzile |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 18:17 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Brayden Point |