Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Belzile on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Belzile wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Point shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belzile 48.0% vs Point 48.8% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 80.8%
Defensive zone
Belzile 61.2%
Neutral zone
Point 58.1%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Belzile
Point
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Belzile
Point
Last 5: Belzile 3-2 Point
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
0
1
Belzile
Point
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belzile
3
0
Belzile
Point
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
0
1
Belzile
Point
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belzile
Point
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (213)
48.3% (6,051)
+0.1%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
54.2% (1,010)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
38.5% (244)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Point has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Point shoots right. Belzile is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Belzile shoots right. Point is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,040).
Home / Away
Belzile
Point
Home
53.7% (123)
49.0% (3,671)
Away
39.6% (106)
48.6% (3,634)
By Period
Belzile
Point
P1
43.5%
46.9%
P2
47.5%
51.2%
P3
50.6%
48.1%
Final 5 min
49.1%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belzile
54.0%▲
48.0%
47.2%
Point
56.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 15:46 | Defensive | Alex Belzile |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Alex Belzile |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 01:28 | Defensive | Alex Belzile |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 18:17 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Brayden Point |