Scouting Report
Connor Bedard holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Laferriere wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laferriere 43.2% vs Bedard 46.5% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laferriere 57.2%
Defensive zone
Laferriere 60.0%
Neutral zone
Laferriere 67.6%
Result
Alex Laferriere favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Laferriere
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Laferriere
Bedard
Last 5: Laferriere 1-4 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Laferriere
Bedard
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
0
3
Laferriere
Bedard
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laferriere
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (325)
44.2% (505)
-2.4%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
66.7% (36)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (72)
53.8% (13)
-16.3%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Laferriere is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Laferriere shoots right. Bedard is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Laferriere
Bedard
Home
40.2% (204)
50.7% (223)
Away
42.9% (210)
42.6% (331)
By Period
Laferriere
Bedard
P1
32.5%
40.2%
P2
39.7%
49.2%
P3
48.9%
47.2%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
40.4%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
38.0%▼
40.0%
41.5%
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 08:15 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 06:52 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:14 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 03:27 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |