Alex Laferriere vs Connor Bedard
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (41.0% vs 40.9%). Look for Bedard on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Laferriere wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laferriere 42.5% vs Bedard 41.4% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 55.4%
Defensive zone
Bedard 54.8%
Neutral zone
Bedard 54.9%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Laferriere
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Laferriere
Bedard
Last 5: Laferriere 1-4 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Laferriere
Bedard
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
0
3
Laferriere
Bedard
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laferriere
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (427)
40.2% (1,635)
+1.3%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
51.8% (83)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (77)
50.0% (24)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Laferriere is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Laferriere shoots right. Bedard is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Home / Away
Laferriere
Bedard
Home
40.2% (249)
43.3% (785)
Away
41.8% (275)
38.9% (957)
By Period
Laferriere
Bedard
P1
35.8%
38.9%
P2
39.1%
41.2%
P3
45.6%
42.5%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
38.5%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
38.0%▼
40.0%
41.0%
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 08:15 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 06:52 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:14 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 03:27 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |