Alex Laferriere vs Justin Sourdif
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Justin Sourdif holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Laferriere wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Sourdif shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laferriere 43.2% vs Sourdif 45.6% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sourdif 50.3%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 57.4%
Neutral zone
Laferriere 60.2%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Laferriere
Sourdif
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Laferriere
Sourdif
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sourdif
0
1
Laferriere
Sourdif
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laferriere
Sourdif
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (325)
44.3% (585)
-2.5%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
50.0% (24)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (72)
61.5% (13)
-24.0%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sourdif shoots right. Laferriere is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Laferriere shoots right. Sourdif is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Laferriere
Sourdif
Home
40.2% (204)
43.6% (321)
Away
42.9% (210)
46.2% (301)
By Period
Laferriere
Sourdif
P1
32.5%
41.9%
P2
39.7%
44.3%
P3
48.9%
47.9%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.4%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
38.0%▼
40.0%
41.5%
Sourdif
36.0%▼
41.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:04 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |