Alex Laferriere vs Justin Sourdif
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Justin Sourdif holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Laferriere wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Sourdif shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laferriere 42.5% vs Sourdif 45.6% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laferriere 54.1%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 56.6%
Neutral zone
Laferriere 62.7%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Laferriere
Sourdif
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Laferriere
Sourdif
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sourdif
0
1
Laferriere
Sourdif
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laferriere
Sourdif
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (427)
44.3% (585)
-2.8%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
50.0% (24)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (77)
61.5% (13)
-25.1%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sourdif shoots right. Laferriere is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Laferriere shoots right. Sourdif is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Laferriere
Sourdif
Home
40.2% (249)
43.6% (321)
Away
41.8% (275)
46.2% (301)
By Period
Laferriere
Sourdif
P1
35.8%
41.9%
P2
39.1%
44.3%
P3
45.6%
47.9%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
38.5%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
38.0%▼
40.0%
41.0%
Sourdif
36.0%▼
41.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:04 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |