Alex Laferriere vs Sebastian Aho
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Laferriere wins 40.1% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laferriere 42.5% vs Aho 51.3% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laferriere 81.0%
Defensive zone
Laferriere 88.0%
Neutral zone
Laferriere 82.4%
Result
Alex Laferriere favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Laferriere
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Laferriere
Aho
Last 6: Laferriere 1-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Laferriere
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Laferriere
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laferriere
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (427)
50.2% (6,646)
-8.7%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
58.9% (1,310)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (77)
46.5% (465)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Laferriere is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Laferriere shoots right. Aho is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,104).
Home / Away
Laferriere
Aho
Home
40.2% (249)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
41.8% (275)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Laferriere
Aho
P1
35.8%
51.1%
P2
39.1%
52.1%
P3
45.6%
50.8%
OT
100.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
38.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
38.0%▼
40.0%
41.0%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 16:49 | Neutral | Alex Laferriere |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 11:24 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 11:15 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 2 | 17:58 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 1 | 10:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |