Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +18.8% FO% edge overall. Laferriere wins 39.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laferriere 43.7% vs Hertl 55.4% (-18.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laferriere 66.8%
Defensive zone
Laferriere 73.9%
Neutral zone
Laferriere 76.0%
Result
Alex Laferriere favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Laferriere
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Laferriere
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Laferriere
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Laferriere
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laferriere
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
37.8% (90)
54.1% (717)
-16.3%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
61.9% (210)
-28.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
58.1% (31)
-33.1%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +33.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Laferriere is 39.2% vs left-shot opponents (74).
Laferriere shoots right. Hertl is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Laferriere
Hertl
Home
35.0% (40)
58.1% (492)
Away
38.6% (57)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Laferriere
Hertl
P1
46.9%
57.1%
P2
34.5%
54.0%
P3
30.6%
56.6%
Final 5 min
28.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
32.0%▼
41.0%
37.1%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2025 | 2 | 02:09 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 17:17 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 18:48 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |