Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hayton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 45.6% vs Hayton 52.3% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 60.8%
Defensive zone
Hayton 55.9%
Neutral zone
Hayton 55.6%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Newhook
Hayton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Newhook
Hayton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Hayton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
0
1
Newhook
Hayton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Hayton
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (174)
52.4% (647)
-8.7%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
56.8% (111)
-31.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
36.8% (19)
+13.2%
On power play, Hayton has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayton shoots left. Newhook is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Newhook shoots left. Hayton is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Home / Away
Newhook
Hayton
Home
45.4% (108)
56.8% (433)
Away
40.7% (86)
47.4% (344)
By Period
Newhook
Hayton
P1
39.0%
52.8%
P2
41.0%
50.3%
P3
50.0%
55.4%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
35.6%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
43.3%
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |