Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Newhook wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hayton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.3% vs Hayton 51.1% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Newhook 64.2%
Defensive zone
Newhook 59.0%
Neutral zone
Newhook 58.9%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Newhook
Hayton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Newhook
Hayton
Last 10: Newhook 4-6 Hayton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
3
1
Newhook
Hayton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
2
Newhook
Hayton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
0
4
Newhook
Hayton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Hayton
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,947)
50.8% (3,480)
-9.1%
Power Play
43.6% (211)
56.7% (594)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
45.2% (374)
-0.8%
On power play, Hayton has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayton shoots left. Newhook is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,330).
Newhook shoots left. Hayton is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,800).
Home / Away
Newhook
Hayton
Home
41.7% (1,076)
52.8% (2,269)
Away
42.1% (1,100)
49.4% (2,179)
By Period
Newhook
Hayton
P1
40.1%
52.0%
P2
42.2%
51.4%
P3
43.1%
49.9%
OT
80.0%
58.1%
Final 5 min
43.5%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
41.9%
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 11:29 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 10:17 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 2 | 08:19 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 2 | 08:05 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 1 | 02:57 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 14:04 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 11:25 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |