Scouting Report
Justin Sourdif holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Sourdif shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 45.6% vs Sourdif 45.6% (-1.6%)
Offensive zone
Newhook 64.1%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 63.7%
Neutral zone
Sourdif 52.2%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Newhook
Sourdif
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Sourdif
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (174)
44.3% (585)
-0.6%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
50.0% (24)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
61.5% (13)
-11.5%
On power play, Sourdif has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sourdif shoots right. Newhook is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (73).
Newhook shoots left. Sourdif is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Newhook
Sourdif
Home
45.4% (108)
43.6% (321)
Away
40.7% (86)
46.2% (301)
By Period
Newhook
Sourdif
P1
39.0%
41.9%
P2
41.0%
44.3%
P3
50.0%
47.9%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
35.6%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
43.3%
Sourdif
36.0%▼
41.0%
44.9%