Scouting Report
Justin Sourdif holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — Sourdif shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.3% vs Sourdif 45.6% (-3.0%)
Offensive zone
Newhook 70.1%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 66.8%
Neutral zone
Newhook 50.9%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Newhook
Sourdif
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Sourdif
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,947)
44.3% (585)
-2.6%
Power Play
43.6% (211)
50.0% (24)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
61.5% (13)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sourdif shoots right. Newhook is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (846).
Newhook shoots left. Sourdif is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Newhook
Sourdif
Home
41.7% (1,076)
43.6% (321)
Away
42.1% (1,100)
46.2% (301)
By Period
Newhook
Sourdif
P1
40.1%
41.9%
P2
42.2%
44.3%
P3
43.1%
47.9%
OT
80.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
41.9%
Sourdif
36.0%▼
41.0%
44.9%