Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 45.6% vs Dowd 48.6% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 84.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 83.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 83.3%
16.7%
83.3%
Newhook
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Newhook
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Newhook
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (174)
51.0% (671)
-7.3%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
0.0% (2)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
41.5% (224)
+8.5%
On power play, Newhook has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Newhook is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (73).
Newhook shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Newhook
Dowd
Home
45.4% (108)
48.2% (471)
Away
40.7% (86)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Newhook
Dowd
P1
39.0%
48.3%
P2
41.0%
46.8%
P3
50.0%
51.0%
OT
100.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
35.6%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
43.3%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |