Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Newhook on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.3% vs Dowd 50.7% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Newhook leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Newhook 66.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 65.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 75.7%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Newhook
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Newhook
Dowd
Last 10: Newhook 5-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
3
0
Newhook
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
3
Newhook
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Newhook
Dowd
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,947)
52.3% (6,036)
-10.6%
Power Play
43.6% (211)
56.1% (164)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
44.1% (1,638)
+0.3%
On power play, Dowd has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Newhook is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (846).
Newhook shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Home / Away
Newhook
Dowd
Home
41.7% (1,076)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
42.1% (1,100)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Newhook
Dowd
P1
40.1%
51.5%
P2
42.2%
50.4%
P3
43.1%
50.3%
OT
80.0%
45.9%
Final 5 min
43.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
41.9%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 17:30 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 04:57 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 12:37 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 19:31 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 02:36 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |