Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 45.6% vs Lorentz 49.5% (-5.7%)
Offensive zone
Newhook 75.9%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 58.1%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 57.0%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Newhook
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (174)
51.4% (74)
-7.7%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
50.0% (2)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
42.3% (26)
+7.7%
On power play, Lorentz has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Newhook is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Newhook shoots left. Lorentz is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Newhook
Lorentz
Home
45.4% (108)
52.9% (68)
Away
40.7% (86)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Newhook
Lorentz
P1
39.0%
58.6%
P2
41.0%
45.0%
P3
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
35.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
43.3%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
49.0%