Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lorentz on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Newhook wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.3% vs Lorentz 48.5% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Lorentz leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Newhook 74.7%
Defensive zone
Newhook 67.9%
Neutral zone
Newhook 69.3%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Newhook
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Newhook
Lorentz
Last 10: Newhook 3-7 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Lorentz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
1
5
Newhook
Lorentz
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Lorentz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,947)
48.9% (1,125)
-7.2%
Power Play
43.6% (211)
50.0% (26)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
41.8% (91)
+2.6%
On even strength, Lorentz has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Newhook is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,330).
Newhook shoots left. Lorentz is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Newhook
Lorentz
Home
41.7% (1,076)
50.6% (609)
Away
42.1% (1,100)
46.3% (633)
By Period
Newhook
Lorentz
P1
40.1%
53.0%
P2
42.2%
46.7%
P3
43.1%
46.2%
OT
80.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
41.9%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 14:34 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 07:03 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 06:41 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 02:22 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 02:37 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 12:51 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 02:55 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 02:47 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |