Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 37.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cirelli shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 47.0% vs Cirelli 48.9% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 53.0%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 63.6%
Neutral zone
Tuch 52.4%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Tuch
Cirelli
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tuch
Cirelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
0
1
Tuch
Cirelli
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Cirelli
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (54)
50.1% (668)
-3.8%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
68.9% (90)
-35.6%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
36.7% (221)
-9.4%
On power play, Cirelli has a +35.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cirelli shoots left. Tuch is 37.2% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Tuch shoots right. Cirelli is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Tuch
Cirelli
Home
48.5% (33)
53.0% (470)
Away
37.1% (35)
45.0% (509)
By Period
Tuch
Cirelli
P1
33.3%
50.6%
P2
46.2%
49.2%
P3
52.9%
47.2%
OT
25.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
41.7%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
42.6%
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 12:38 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |