Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tuch wins 37.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 47.0% vs Ek 47.4% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 73.6%
Defensive zone
Ek 73.7%
Neutral zone
Ek 50.6%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Tuch
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Tuch
Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tuch
1
0
Tuch
Ek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
0
3
Tuch
Ek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (20)
47.8% (707)
-7.8%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
49.1% (55)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
39.0% (77)
+11.0%
On power play, Ek has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Tuch is 37.0% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Tuch shoots right. Ek is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Tuch
Ek
Home
33.3% (18)
47.1% (414)
Away
42.9% (14)
47.1% (425)
By Period
Tuch
Ek
P1
33.3%
45.5%
P2
50.0%
50.2%
P3
22.2%
44.3%
Final 5 min
28.6%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
44.0%▲
41.5%
37.5%
Ek
48.0%▬
49.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2021 | 3 | 18:57 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 15:20 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |