Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tuch wins 38.4% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 41.6% vs Ek 47.8% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 86.9%
Defensive zone
Tuch 55.7%
Neutral zone
Tuch 70.2%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Tuch
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Tuch
Ek
Last 8: Tuch 2-6 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Tuch
Ek
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
0
4
Tuch
Ek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (475)
47.4% (6,530)
-8.7%
Power Play
43.3% (203)
55.4% (1,434)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (107)
40.2% (1,143)
+2.8%
On power play, Ek has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Tuch is 38.4% vs left-shot opponents (632).
Tuch shoots right. Ek is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Tuch
Ek
Home
42.2% (393)
48.6% (4,516)
Away
38.8% (392)
47.0% (4,591)
By Period
Tuch
Ek
P1
45.0%
46.7%
P2
40.7%
49.5%
P3
35.7%
46.7%
OT
22.2%
52.8%
Final 5 min
39.0%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
44.0%▲
41.5%
40.5%
Ek
48.0%▬
49.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:34 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 12:42 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 3 | 18:57 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 15:20 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |