Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 46.9% vs Ek 49.4% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 60.1%
Defensive zone
Ek 71.7%
Neutral zone
Tuch 52.9%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Tuch
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tuch
Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tuch
Ek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (59)
48.4% (926)
-4.3%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
55.4% (327)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
41.4% (133)
-8.1%
On power play, Ek has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Tuch is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Tuch shoots right. Ek is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (569).
Home / Away
Tuch
Ek
Home
46.9% (32)
50.1% (689)
Away
39.5% (43)
48.6% (697)
By Period
Tuch
Ek
P1
56.3%
49.5%
P2
35.5%
49.3%
P3
27.3%
48.9%
OT
0.0%
53.7%
Final 5 min
57.9%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
44.0%▲
41.5%
42.7%
Ek
48.0%▬
49.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:34 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 12:42 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |