Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 37.2% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 47.0% vs Greig 51.1% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 73.8%
Defensive zone
Greig 69.9%
Neutral zone
Tuch 64.3%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Tuch
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tuch
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Tuch
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (54)
51.9% (347)
-5.6%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
66.7% (24)
-33.4%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
44.8% (87)
-17.5%
On power play, Greig has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Tuch is 37.2% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Tuch shoots right. Greig is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Tuch
Greig
Home
48.5% (33)
50.4% (254)
Away
37.1% (35)
52.5% (204)
By Period
Tuch
Greig
P1
33.3%
45.9%
P2
46.2%
60.1%
P3
52.9%
49.2%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
42.6%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 03:58 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |