Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 41.5% vs Greig 49.0% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 90.4%
Defensive zone
Greig 56.6%
Neutral zone
Tuch 71.8%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Tuch
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Tuch
Greig
Last 7: Tuch 2-5 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Tuch
Greig
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
2
Tuch
Greig
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Tuch
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (481)
48.7% (1,144)
-10.0%
Power Play
43.1% (204)
56.8% (74)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (111)
47.2% (178)
-4.0%
On power play, Greig has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Tuch is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (641).
Tuch shoots right. Greig is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
Tuch
Greig
Home
42.1% (394)
49.9% (688)
Away
38.8% (402)
48.0% (708)
By Period
Tuch
Greig
P1
44.7%
46.0%
P2
40.6%
51.8%
P3
36.0%
49.1%
OT
27.3%
28.6%
Final 5 min
39.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.5%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 03:58 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:23 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 13:38 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 08:08 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |