Alex Turcotte vs Zack Ostapchuk

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Alex Turcotte holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Turcotte on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Turcotte 51.3% vs Ostapchuk 48.7% (+3.0%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Turcotte 69.5%
Defensive zone Ostapchuk 58.1%
Neutral zone Turcotte 53.4%
Result Alex Turcotte favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Turcotte Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 4 (9 meetings)
5
4
Turcotte Ostapchuk
Last 9: Turcotte 5-4 Ostapchuk

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Turcotte
1
0
Turcotte Ostapchuk
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
1
Turcotte Ostapchuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turcotte
4
3
Turcotte Ostapchuk
7 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Turcotte
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (656)
49.1% (632)
+2.0%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
28.6% (7)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
45.5% (66)
+54.5%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +54.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Turcotte is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Turcotte shoots left. Ostapchuk is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Ostapchuk
Home
51.7% (346)
48.6% (329)
Away
51.2% (332)
48.4% (376)
By Period
Turcotte
Ostapchuk
P1
53.8%
48.5%
P2
53.8%
46.4%
P3
46.5%
50.7%
Final 5 min
47.6%
50.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%
53.0%
51.5%
Ostapchuk
52.0%
50.5%
48.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 7, 2026 3 05:38 Neutral Zack Ostapchuk
Jan 7, 2026 3 00:00 Neutral Zack Ostapchuk
Jan 7, 2026 2 11:24 Offensive Alex Turcotte
Jan 7, 2026 2 00:00 Neutral Alex Turcotte
Jan 7, 2026 1 00:09 Neutral Zack Ostapchuk
Jan 7, 2026 1 00:00 Neutral Alex Turcotte
Nov 20, 2025 2 03:04 Defensive Zack Ostapchuk
Nov 20, 2025 1 19:50 Neutral Alex Turcotte
Nov 20, 2025 1 02:33 Neutral Alex Turcotte