Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 52.0% vs Horvat 57.6% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 66.5%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 65.5%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 57.2%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Kerfoot
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Kerfoot
Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
1
Kerfoot
Horvat
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Horvat
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
1
Kerfoot
Horvat
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (356)
58.6% (987)
-5.5%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
60.6% (251)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (114)
45.7% (81)
+2.5%
On even strength, Horvat has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Kerfoot is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Kerfoot shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Horvat
Home
57.4% (235)
59.2% (684)
Away
47.9% (259)
57.0% (635)
By Period
Kerfoot
Horvat
P1
53.2%
57.9%
P2
53.3%
55.4%
P3
50.9%
61.5%
Final 5 min
51.8%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.4%
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |