Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 50.4% vs Horvat 56.1% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 85.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 57.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 59.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Kerfoot
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kerfoot
Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Horvat
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (115)
55.7% (731)
-1.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
63.4% (243)
+36.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
48.6% (107)
-23.6%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +36.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Kerfoot is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (74).
Kerfoot shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Horvat
Home
41.7% (60)
59.4% (537)
Away
58.3% (72)
54.0% (544)
By Period
Kerfoot
Horvat
P1
53.8%
59.9%
P2
50.0%
54.5%
P3
47.8%
56.1%
Final 5 min
56.5%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
50.8%
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 03:29 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |