Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.9% vs Horvat 55.9% (-13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 81.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 64.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 58.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Kerfoot
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kerfoot
Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Horvat
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (33)
56.4% (493)
-7.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
63.7% (168)
+36.3%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
44.6% (83)
-32.1%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +36.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Kerfoot is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Kerfoot shoots left. Horvat is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (461).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Horvat
Home
28.0% (25)
58.8% (391)
Away
64.7% (17)
54.4% (353)
By Period
Kerfoot
Horvat
P1
47.6%
61.2%
P2
25.0%
53.1%
P3
55.6%
55.1%
Final 5 min
40.0%
61.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
42.9%
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 03:29 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |