Alexander Kerfoot vs Connor Bedard
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor Bedard holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.9% vs Bedard 47.7% (-4.1%)
Offensive zone
Bedard 57.0%
Defensive zone
Bedard 55.0%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 57.5%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Kerfoot
Bedard
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (33)
44.9% (283)
+3.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
76.2% (21)
+23.8%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
45.5% (11)
-33.0%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +33.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Kerfoot is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Kerfoot shoots left. Bedard is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Bedard
Home
28.0% (25)
52.4% (145)
Away
64.7% (17)
42.4% (170)
By Period
Kerfoot
Bedard
P1
47.6%
37.9%
P2
25.0%
48.6%
P3
55.6%
53.2%
Final 5 min
40.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
42.9%
Bedard
32.0%▼
47.5%
47.0%