Alexander Kerfoot vs Connor Bedard
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.9% vs Bedard 41.4% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Kerfoot leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 77.6%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 75.1%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 81.7%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Kerfoot
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Kerfoot
Bedard
Last 10: Kerfoot 4-6 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
5
3
Kerfoot
Bedard
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
3
0
Kerfoot
Bedard
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
3
Kerfoot
Bedard
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,849)
40.2% (1,635)
+8.6%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
51.8% (83)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (389)
50.0% (24)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Kerfoot is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,378).
Kerfoot shoots left. Bedard is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,259).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Bedard
Home
51.0% (1,795)
43.3% (785)
Away
44.4% (1,708)
38.9% (957)
By Period
Kerfoot
Bedard
P1
47.4%
38.9%
P2
46.0%
41.2%
P3
50.5%
42.5%
OT
29.4%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.0%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
47.8%
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 11:25 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 09:45 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 01:12 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 3 | 04:48 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 06:51 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 16:39 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 02:07 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 19:26 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 15:55 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |