Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs Evans 52.0% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 81.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 58.8%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 63.6%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Kerfoot
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kerfoot
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Kerfoot
Evans
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Kerfoot
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
54.4% (807)
-4.0%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
55.0% (20)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (143)
46.1% (310)
-6.9%
On power play, Evans has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Kerfoot is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (334).
Kerfoot shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Evans
Home
51.4% (467)
53.7% (581)
Away
43.5% (395)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Kerfoot
Evans
P1
49.1%
54.6%
P2
42.4%
50.0%
P3
52.7%
52.3%
OT
25.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
47.8%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 02:00 | Offensive | Jake Evans |