Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 50.4% vs Evans 55.0% (-4.9%)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 71.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 67.3%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 55.3%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Kerfoot
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (115)
55.6% (522)
-1.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
72.7% (11)
+27.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
55.2% (210)
-30.2%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Kerfoot is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Kerfoot shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Evans
Home
41.7% (60)
54.7% (402)
Away
58.3% (72)
56.9% (341)
By Period
Kerfoot
Evans
P1
53.8%
57.9%
P2
50.0%
55.2%
P3
47.8%
53.6%
Final 5 min
56.5%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
50.8%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%